Beware the Hare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 999 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2013-09-01 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 1009 | 58% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
| 1088 | 911 | 73% | 2012-08-28 | Won |
| 1039 | 1113 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1051 | 63% | 2012-07-29 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2012-07-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1105 | 1000 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1095.1 vs 1011.8 has a 61.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).