Beware the Hare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 999 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2013-09-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1065 | 1089 | 47% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
| 1099 | 877 | 78% | 2012-08-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1106 | 43% | 2012-08-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1051 | 66% | 2012-07-29 | Lost |
| 991 | 1004 | 48% | 2012-07-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1000 | 61% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1086.6 vs 1019.5 has a 59.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).