The Black Ravens are Flying
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (20 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2025-04-19 | Won |
| 1102 | 1109 | 49% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2022-06-19 | Won |
| 963 | 999 | 45% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2019-03-28 | Lost |
| 1057 | 938 | 66% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Won |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1028 | 55% | 2015-01-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1183 | 32% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1067 | 30% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1115 | 52% | 2013-09-15 | Won |
| 1068 | 1010 | 58% | 2013-02-14 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1293 | 27% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1068 | 48% | 2013-01-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 1254 | 36% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 969 | 73% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 947 | 62% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 927 | 748 | 74% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1069.9 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).