The Black Ravens are Flying
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (20 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2025-04-19 | Won |
| 1072 | 1117 | 44% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2022-06-19 | Won |
| 963 | 1013 | 43% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2019-03-28 | Lost |
| 1047 | 938 | 65% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2015-01-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1167 | 34% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1067 | 30% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1115 | 52% | 2013-09-15 | Won |
| 1068 | 1010 | 58% | 2013-02-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1293 | 34% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1068 | 48% | 2013-01-26 | Won |
| 1151 | 1255 | 35% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 1137 | 969 | 72% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 943 | 63% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 879 | 749 | 68% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1064.7 has a 48.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).