For Want of Either Crust or Crumb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-25 | Won |
| 861 | 1058 | 24% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1059.5 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).