Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (43 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 46
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1114 | 1177 | 41% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 870 | 892 | 47% | 2024-05-29 | Lost |
| 1057 | 756 | 85% | 2022-04-11 | Won |
| 789 | 1054 | 18% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 962 | 1017 | 42% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1223 | 23% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 1179 | 44% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 973 | 49% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
| 1145 | 1180 | 45% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1217 | 38% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2020-10-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1217 | 28% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1164 | 851 | 86% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 1056 | 45% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
| 910 | 1053 | 31% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 950 | 1158 | 23% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2015-04-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
| 891 | 1020 | 32% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 875 | 75% | 2014-11-02 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1102 | 43% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
| 1103 | 903 | 76% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1214 | 30% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 963 | 943 | 53% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 940 | 74% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1123 | 940 | 74% | 2010-01-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1118 | 45% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1049.9 has a 46.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).