Silent Night, Deadly Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1126 | 1053 | 60% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
1079 | 1070 | 51% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
1178 | 1084 | 63% | 2020-10-11 | Lost |
1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
1160 | 1219 | 42% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
1208 | 1219 | 48% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
911 | 1010 | 36% | 2016-06-10 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1106.6 vs 1096.3 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).