Coriano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Canadian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1002 | 53% | 2023-07-19 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 977 | 65% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 937 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2016-12-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1057 | 1010 | 57% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1046 | 52% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2015-04-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 997 | 59% | 2015-02-27 | Won |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-11-21 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2014-04-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1434 | 22% | 2013-06-15 | Tied |
| 1211 | 1180 | 54% | 2013-06-14 | Won |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2013-06-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 1075 | 54% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1009 | 65% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
| 907 | 1018 | 35% | 2012-11-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2012-06-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1101 | 37% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1147 | 982 | 72% | 2012-04-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1092 | 55% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 1028 | 66% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1069.5 has a 49.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).