Coriano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Canadian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1002 | 56% | 2023-07-19 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 975 | 63% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 937 | 1138 | 24% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-12-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1010 | 72% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1114 | 985 | 68% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-04-15 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2015-02-27 | Won |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-11-21 | Won |
| 1120 | 1110 | 51% | 2014-04-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1424 | 27% | 2013-06-15 | Tied |
| 1252 | 1179 | 60% | 2013-06-14 | Won |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2013-06-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 1075 | 54% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1008 | 66% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
| 927 | 1018 | 37% | 2012-11-07 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2012-06-16 | Won |
| 1008 | 1101 | 37% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1117 | 976 | 69% | 2012-04-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1092 | 55% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 1028 | 66% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1065.5 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).