Texas Flood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1088 | 33% | 2025-10-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 755 | 82% | 2024-07-14 | Won |
| 1083 | 1070 | 52% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1159 | 66% | 2022-10-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1068 | 48% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1042 | 986 | 58% | 2015-09-26 | Won |
| 986 | 1034 | 43% | 2014-05-13 | Won |
| 1118 | 969 | 70% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
| 882 | 1141 | 18% | 2013-09-08 | Won |
| 1071 | 1020 | 57% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1238 | 41% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1071 | 34% | 2012-11-26 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1283 | 59% | 2012-05-12 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1077.8 has a 50.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).