Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1041 | 52% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 941 | 52% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1015 | 919 | 63% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1140 | 950 | 75% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 1026 | 43% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 1026 | 999 | 54% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 1076 | 43% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1026 | 960 | 59% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1058 | 48% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1253 | 72% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 873 | 891 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 878 | 1024 | 30% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1180 | 902 | 83% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 962 | 878 | 62% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 950 | 1243 | 16% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1076 | 1253 | 27% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1276 | 1140 | 69% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1253 | 37% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1019 | 54% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1213 | 56% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1126 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1058 | 50% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1043.3 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).