Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1064 | 46% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 872 | 62% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 945 | 66% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 901 | 61% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 901 | 997 | 37% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 901 | 1059 | 29% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 901 | 960 | 42% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1055 | 1088 | 45% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1302 | 20% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 871 | 889 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1050 | 80% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1266 | 1178 | 62% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1007 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 966 | 60% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1114 | 39% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 945 | 1243 | 15% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1242 | 21% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 974 | 1195 | 22% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 929 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1168 | 974 | 75% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1213 | 63% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1055 | 1088 | 45% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1052.2 has a 48.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).