Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1137 | 55% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 875 | 1102 | 21% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1061 | 1102 | 44% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 875 | 73% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1191 | 1221 | 46% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1221 | 40% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1178 | 971 | 77% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 968 | 68% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1186 | 805 | 90% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1106.1 vs 1073.5 has a 54.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).