Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 1128 | 1086 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1059 | 1086 | 46% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 960 | 74% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1219 | 54% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1336 | 19% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1154 | 994 | 72% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1141 | 57% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1146.1 vs 1114.5 has a 54.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).