Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1051 | 46% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1126 | 1116 | 51% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1056 | 1214 | 29% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 955 | 1110 | 29% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 968 | 1023 | 42% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1310 | 32% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 978 | 1150 | 27% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 996 | 1164 | 28% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1127.1 has a 40.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).