Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 788 | 809 | 47% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1051 | 57% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1202 | 1119 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1150 | 970 | 74% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1057 | 1220 | 28% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 962 | 1110 | 30% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1313 | 31% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1030 | 1079 | 43% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 1102.9 has a 42.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).