Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 707 | 1057 | 12% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1067 | 48% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1113 | 1108 | 51% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1217 | 29% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 945 | 1143 | 24% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1231 | 42% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 1091 | 40% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1113.9 has a 40.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).