Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (23 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 57
Defender wins (German (SS)): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1252 | 1004 | 81% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1030 | 64% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 971 | 768 | 76% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1040 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1153 | 950 | 76% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1120 | 1176 | 42% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1064 | 58% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1066 | 1059 | 51% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1109 | 998 | 65% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1075 | 1096 | 47% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 890 | 73% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1110 | 76% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1099 | 46% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1122 | 1148 | 46% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1183 | 45% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 920 | 69% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1089.8 vs 1040.4 has a 57.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).