Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (25 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 58
Defender wins (German (SS)): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1226 | 30% | 2025-09-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1032 | 50% | 2025-09-27 | Lost |
| 1254 | 993 | 82% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1047 | 59% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 780 | 79% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 950 | 1054 | 35% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 953 | 71% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1063 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1148 | 931 | 78% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1078 | 1010 | 60% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1078 | 42% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1124 | 905 | 78% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 890 | 67% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1113 | 52% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1110 | 79% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1089 | 48% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 993 | 42% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 1151 | 47% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1078 | 919 | 71% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1093.3 vs 1041.9 has a 57.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).