Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (27 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 59
Defender wins (German (SS)): 74
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1152 | 40% | 2025-09-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1075 | 41% | 2025-09-27 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1017 | 54% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 951 | 1056 | 35% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 993 | 1263 | 17% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1142 | 67% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1126 | 947 | 74% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1065 | 60% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 966 | 67% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1088 | 1094 | 49% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1133 | 965 | 72% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1084 | 1061 | 53% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1179 | 38% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1112 | 1143 | 46% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1114 | 65% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1070 | 51% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 994 | 42% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1132 | 1141 | 49% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2011-07-08 | Won |
| 1146 | 919 | 79% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1090.2 vs 1079.4 has a 51.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).