Fish in a Barrel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (12 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1174 | 17% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 965 | 78% | 2024-06-21 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1058 | 37% | 2024-06-21 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1343 | 8% | 2018-06-28 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1343 | 9% | 2018-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2012-03-24 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1019 | 70% | 2012-03-22 | | Won |
| 1136 | 977 | 71% | 2012-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-01-22 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1211 | 25% | 2011-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1000 | 66% | 2011-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 1147 | 76% | 2011-10-02 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1107.3 has a 43.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).