An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1040 | 45% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1120 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1252 | 939 | 86% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1211 | 30% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1170 | 37% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1170 | 27% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1039 | 69% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 998 | 954 | 56% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1090.7 vs 1081.7 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).