An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 938 | 59% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1159 | 46% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1250 | 938 | 86% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1209 | 32% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1151 | 40% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1151 | 29% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1031 | 52% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1039 | 68% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 954 | 940 | 52% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1061.8 has a 52.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).