An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 989 | 49% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1077 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1256 | 938 | 86% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1220 | 29% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1174 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1174 | 26% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1103 | 41% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1039 | 69% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 878 | 953 | 39% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1055.4 vs 1074.1 has a 47.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).