An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1002 | 42% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1182 | 939 | 80% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1221 | 32% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1179 | 37% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1179 | 26% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 994 | 55% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1039 | 69% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 965 | 954 | 52% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1059.9 has a 49.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).