Go Big or Go Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (36 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (French): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2025-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2025-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 868 | 68% | 2025-03-03 | | Won |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2025-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2024-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2024-01-11 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2023-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-03-17 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-01-25 | | Won |
| 925 | 1218 | 16% | 2021-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 925 | 84% | 2021-12-30 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2020-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2020-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2019-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-01-19 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1080 | 35% | 2018-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2017-05-11 | | Won |
| 1009 | 951 | 58% | 2017-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2017-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2017-03-25 | | Won |
| 1126 | 976 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2014-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2013-06-27 | | Won |
| 1043 | 1084 | 44% | 2013-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2013-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1126 | 61% | 2013-04-02 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1132 | 55% | 2012-10-28 | | Lost |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2012-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2012-09-23 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 734 | 92% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 973 | 1108 | 31% | 2012-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1060 | 43% | 2012-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1060 | 43% | 2012-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1126 | 41% | 2011-12-04 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1071 | 39% | | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 1027.5 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).