Go Big or Go Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (36 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 67
Defender wins (French): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 868 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 868 | 891 | 47% | 2025-01-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 933 | 53% | 2024-12-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 933 | 56% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1127 | 1142 | 48% | 2023-01-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1218 | 16% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 925 | 84% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1037 | 45% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 1080 | 35% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 958 | 933 | 54% | 2017-05-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 933 | 60% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 933 | 62% | 2017-03-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 933 | 54% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1126 | 976 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1126 | 53% | 2014-09-10 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1143 | 34% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1117 | 62% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 1107 | 1132 | 46% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 936 | 1020 | 38% | 2012-09-26 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1028 | 74% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1160 | 48% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1028 | 746 | 84% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 973 | 1107 | 32% | 2012-01-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1097 | 35% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1097 | 35% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1126 | 39% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 1091 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1042.2 has a 49.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).