Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1036 | 40% | 2024-03-12 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1027 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1134 | 37% | 2017-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2017-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1008 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1008 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1054.1 has a 43.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).