Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1037 | 35% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 1028 | 45% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 613 | 881 | 18% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1001 | 60% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1072 | 1001 | 60% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 994.6 vs 1035.4 has a 44.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).