Wasp Sting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (22 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 37
Defender wins (German): 51
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1099 | 33% | 2025-11-13 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-05-16 | A | Lost |
| 1055 | 993 | 59% | 2025-05-16 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2025-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1057 | 45% | 2025-03-02 | | Won |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2020-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2020-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2018-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2018-06-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2017-02-11 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2014-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1176 | 45% | 2013-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2013-10-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-07-19 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1147 | 19% | 2013-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1147 | 48% | 2013-04-02 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2013-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 960 | 60% | 2012-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1138 | 64% | 2012-07-27 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1055 | 55% | 2011-10-08 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-06-28 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1067.6 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).