Close Encounter of the Bad Kind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1090 | 63% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1011 | 70% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1011 | 1155 | 30% | 2011-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1098.5 vs 1076.3 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).