Road to Buin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Australian): 3
Defender wins (Japanese): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 955 | 57% | 2026-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-01-27 | | Won |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-04-24 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1000 | 40% | 2022-04-16 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2010-04-24 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 984 vs 991 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).