Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1116 | 55% | 2022-07-26 | Won |
| 906 | 1214 | 15% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1214 | 29% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 933 | 1158 | 21% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 994 | 990 | 51% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-06-15 | Tied |
| 1056 | 954 | 64% | 2014-05-15 | Won |
| 931 | 977 | 43% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1075 | 1047 | 54% | 2012-04-09 | Won |
| 938 | 896 | 56% | 2011-07-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 970 | 68% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1025 | 1151 | 33% | 2011-03-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1023 | 38% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 998.7 vs 1044.3 has a 43.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).