Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1193 | 44% | 2022-07-26 | Won |
| 907 | 1220 | 14% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1220 | 28% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 986 | 55% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1158 | 27% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 1038 | 51% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1148 | 1147 | 50% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-06-15 | Tied |
| 1056 | 998 | 58% | 2014-05-15 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1133 | 41% | 2012-04-09 | Won |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-07-04 | Won |
| 1107 | 970 | 69% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 1038 | 1170 | 32% | 2011-03-19 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1099 | 65% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1074.6 has a 44.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).