Cat's Cradle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1298 | 1255 | 56% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1158 | 1154 | 51% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 1273 | 32% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-07-08 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1016 | 53% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2012-03-30 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1091 | 45% | 2011-05-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1098.4 vs 1092.9 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).