The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 1123 | 52% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1094 | 44% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 946 | 1051 | 35% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1139 | 51% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1333 | 22% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1045 | 65% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1132 | 36% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1014 | 74% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1141 | 27% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1152 | 41% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1076.5 vs 1097.8 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).