The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1093 | 43% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 1045 | 36% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1073 | 61% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1252 | 31% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1101 | 53% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 935 | 76% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1200 | 21% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1140 | 43% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1084.5 has a 49.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).