Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 187 (51 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 97
Defender wins (Russian): 90
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 952 | 52% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 933 | 1230 | 15% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 952 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 914 | 1243 | 13% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1168 | 1209 | 44% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1077 | 36% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 997 | 1113 | 34% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1101 | 1167 | 41% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 1144 | 33% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 997 | 22% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1089 | 42% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1022 | 53% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 869 | 88% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 741 | 1218 | 6% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1218 | 41% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 1035 | 48% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1183 | 1066 | 66% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1044 | 60% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1342 | 1144 | 76% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2018-05-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1143 | 46% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1143 | 1113 | 54% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1120 | 47% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1130 | 1011 | 66% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1342 | 1202 | 69% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
| 1020 | 1046 | 46% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1067 | 50% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 1219 | 972 | 81% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 966 | 936 | 54% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1342 | 25% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1239 | 48% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1008 | 907 | 64% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1239 | 1100 | 69% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 971 | 1167 | 24% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 942 | 881 | 59% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1119 | 37% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 1120 | 64% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1130 | 987 | 69% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1092.7 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).