Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (51 on the archive and 137 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 97
Defender wins (Russian): 91
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 952 | 52% | 2025-03-23 | | Won |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-02-28 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1080 | 36% | 2025-02-28 | | Won |
| 952 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-02-09 | | Lost |
| 912 | 1181 | 18% | 2024-11-16 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-05-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2024-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1145 | 30% | 2024-01-10 | | Lost |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2023-11-15 | | Won |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1218 | 23% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1167 | 41% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1161 | 30% | 2022-06-05 | | Lost |
| 780 | 975 | 25% | 2022-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1051 | 47% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1031 | 51% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 1218 | 870 | 88% | 2021-08-16 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-05-09 | | Won |
| 734 | 1187 | 7% | 2021-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1187 | 45% | 2020-12-01 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1017 | 52% | 2020-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-05-09 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-10-21 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1143 | 76% | 2018-06-29 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2018-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2018-03-08 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2017-10-05 | | Won |
| 1146 | 1011 | 69% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1202 | 69% | 2013-06-18 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-03-31 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2012-03-28 | | Won |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2012-02-25 | | Won |
| 966 | 936 | 54% | 2012-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2012-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2011-10-13 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-09-18 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-08-27 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-06-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2011-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1205 | 30% | 2011-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1119 | 39% | 2011-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2011-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 987 | 71% | 2011-03-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1072.3 has a 44.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).