Three for the Third
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1027 | 52% | 2025-01-12 | Won |
| 1045 | 778 | 82% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 1139 | 27% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1217 | 19% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2016-06-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1059 | 41% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2011-06-30 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1140 | 58% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2011-04-28 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1123 | 61% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1078.2 vs 1057.8 has a 52.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).