Light Aid Detached
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (13 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (British / Partisan (Belgian)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2026-08-27 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2023-12-09 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-06-28 | | Won |
| 1218 | 911 | 85% | 2019-03-18 | | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2016-11-13 | | Won |
| 1283 | 939 | 88% | 2015-09-19 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1141 | 68% | 2013-10-05 | | Won |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2012-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2012-01-16 | | Won |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2011-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2011-07-17 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2011-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 936 | 59% | 2011-04-26 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1019.8 has a 56.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).