Mountain Hunters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (35 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian/German): 72
Defender wins (Russian): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-06-11 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1013 | 53% | 2022-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2022-04-10 | | Won |
| 1119 | 1140 | 47% | 2022-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2022-02-09 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2021-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2020-10-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 870 | 88% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1038 | 75% | 2014-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-12-14 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2012-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2012-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2012-04-28 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1141 | 27% | 2012-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 966 | 62% | 2012-01-13 | | Won |
| 1181 | 1063 | 66% | 2011-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2011-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-08-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2011-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2011-07-02 | | Won |
| 991 | 1205 | 23% | 2011-06-28 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1347 | 16% | 2011-06-11 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2011-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2011-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 936 | 59% | 2011-04-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1070 | 60% | 2011-01-15 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1052.6 has a 50.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).