Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1413 | 10% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 975 | 1004 | 46% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1222 | 1025 | 76% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1099 | 37% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 862 | 1193 | 13% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1004 | 65% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1002 | 1095 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1085 | 39% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 1047 | 49% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 956 | 1059 | 36% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 919 | 1060 | 31% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 998 | 1010 | 48% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1077 | 52% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1133 | 45% | 2011-05-14 | Lost |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 749 | 998 | 19% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 954 | 1075 | 33% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1064.7 has a 41.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).