Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Dutch): 28
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1250 | 1259 | 49% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 996 | 1115 | 34% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 996 | 1250 | 19% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 882 | 1011 | 32% | 2023-03-16 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1101 | 42% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2019-05-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-05-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1310 | 31% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 978 | 1150 | 27% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
| 950 | 1023 | 40% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1099.1 has a 43.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).