Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (14 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Dutch): 29
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1080 | 27% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1266 | 44% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1002 | 1225 | 22% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2023-03-16 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1101 | 47% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1203 | 992 | 77% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 1039 | 41% | 2019-05-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-05-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1309 | 31% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
| 975 | 1201 | 21% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
| 950 | 1097 | 30% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1108.9 has a 41.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).