Stairway to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (5 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 7
Defender wins (Nationalist): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 881 | 86% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1094 | 1139 | 44% | 2023-03-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1132 | 63% | 2018-02-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1075 | 51% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1226 | 45% | 2011-02-28 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1156.2 vs 1090.6 has a 59.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).