Stairway to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (5 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 7
Defender wins (Nationalist): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 920 | 70% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 1106 | 47% | 2023-03-29 | Won |
| 1067 | 1131 | 41% | 2018-02-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2011-02-28 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1106.6 vs 1044.8 has a 58.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).