Beaufort's Feast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1240 | 1306 | 41% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1000 | 68% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 993 | 961 | 55% | 2016-05-21 | Won |
| 1039 | 961 | 61% | 2016-05-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2015-08-13 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1060 | 1226 | 28% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
| 980 | 1046 | 41% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1021 | 61% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1140 | 32% | 2012-04-14 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2011-02-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-02-21 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1070 | 70% | 2010-12-28 | Won |
| 1080 | 1269 | 25% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1096.2 has a 47.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).