The Lost Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Canadian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2023-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-08-01 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-08-01 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2018-06-22 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2018-06-22 | | Won |
| 1136 | 957 | 74% | 2018-06-12 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2014-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2012-07-10 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1028 | 37% | 2011-07-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1030.2 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).