The Lost Column
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1213 | 41% | 2019-05-01 | Won |
| 1183 | 824 | 89% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1025 | 61% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 968 | 68% | 2018-06-12 | Won |
| 1122 | 1098 | 53% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2014-08-08 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2012-07-10 | Lost |
| 938 | 1028 | 37% | 2011-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1028.6 has a 55.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).