After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1186 | 60% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 973 | 1110 | 31% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1103 | 51% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1059 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1186 | 54% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 973 | 37% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1340 | 61% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1053 | 48% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1118 | 973 | 70% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1160 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1003 | 67% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1096.6 vs 1076.8 has a 52.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).