After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1139 | 66% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 967 | 1151 | 26% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1135 | 52% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1057 | 72% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1139 | 61% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 991 | 34% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1333 | 18% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1054 | 40% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1109 | 991 | 66% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1160 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1028 | 64% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1080.6 has a 49.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).