After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (16 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1020 | 1001 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1033 | 1130 | 36% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
1130 | 1109 | 53% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
976 | 1116 | 31% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
1214 | 1056 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
1214 | 1126 | 62% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
881 | 999 | 34% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
1044 | 1310 | 18% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
940 | 1054 | 34% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
1191 | 999 | 75% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
1159 | 1067 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
1133 | 1069 | 59% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1072.9 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).