After the Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (17 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1003 | 56% | 2026-02-17 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2022-04-14 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1170 | 65% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 999 | 53% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2017-11-13 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1097 | 53% | 2017-10-19 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1070 | 41% | 2017-09-20 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1060 | 71% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1170 | 57% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 879 | 1166 | 16% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 1421 | 1234 | 75% | 2016-05-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1055 | 47% | 2015-05-30 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1166 | 45% | 2014-05-05 | Won |
| 1161 | 1071 | 63% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1003 | 73% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1104.5 vs 1079.4 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).