Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 879 | 71% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 948 | 1042 | 37% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 869 | 846 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1100 | 61% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 882 | 1068 | 26% | 2013-07-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 882 | 74% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2012-08-18 | Won |
| 1126 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1031 | 46% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1078 | 855 | 78% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1110 | 49% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1110 | 31% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 962 | 1118 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1037.8 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).