Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (23 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 66
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-10-14 | | Won |
| 1033 | 966 | 60% | 2023-02-02 | A | Won |
| 946 | 1000 | 42% | 2021-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2015-06-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2015-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2013-10-07 | | Lost |
| 875 | 1074 | 24% | 2013-07-02 | | Won |
| 1074 | 875 | 76% | 2013-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2012-08-18 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2011-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2011-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1233 | 36% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2011-02-08 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 918 | 88% | 2010-09-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2010-08-02 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2010-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2010-06-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-05-28 | | Won |
| 970 | 1086 | 34% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1036.2 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).