Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Republican): 9
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1273 | 1151 | 67% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1214 | 16% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1116 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1056 | 44% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1250 | 19% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1097 | 50% | 2017-09-06 | Won |
| 949 | 903 | 57% | 2017-06-26 | Won |
| 1250 | 1123 | 68% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
| 954 | 973 | 47% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
| 954 | 898 | 58% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
| 964 | 1106 | 31% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2013-05-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1072.6 has a 47.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).