Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (8 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 30
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-26 | Lost |
| 965 | 941 | 53% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 1069 | 930 | 69% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1292 | 29% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1090 | 955 | 69% | 2017-12-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 1094 | 42% | 2017-05-15 | Lost |
| 889 | 951 | 41% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 999.9 vs 1013.3 has a 48.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).