The Shan Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 14
Defender wins (Chinese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 952 | 45% | 2025-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 953 | 75% | 2023-11-27 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2020-01-23 | | Won |
| 1069 | 1089 | 47% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 870 | 68% | 2012-10-12 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 975.8 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).