Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1055 | 64% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1109 | 1243 | 32% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1112 | 48% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1109 | 53% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1102 | 1190 | 38% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1144 | 45% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1141 | 30% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1067 | 1203 | 31% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1196 | 26% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1089.2 vs 1146.3 has a 41.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).