Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1054 | 70% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1132 | 1243 | 35% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1120 | 51% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 1175 | 37% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1055 | 51% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1144 | 43% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1170 | 27% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1066 | 1090 | 47% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1094.4 vs 1140.9 has a 43.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).