Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1184 | 1055 | 68% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1243 | 34% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1055 | 49% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1125 | 51% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 947 | 78% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1072 | 1192 | 33% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1144 | 45% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1176 | 26% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1071 | 1215 | 30% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 1068 | 1219 | 30% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1089 vs 1140.2 has a 42.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).