ASL Scenario Archive

Failure to Communicate

Games with no balance used/recorded: 46

Attacker wins (German): 26

Defender wins (French): 20

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1031	959	60%	2026-03-16	Lost
707	1120	8%	2025-07-11	Lost
1028	900	68%	2025-06-20	Lost
909	909	50%	2025-04-13	Won
1127	1142	48%	2024-01-06	Won
967	1075	35%	2022-08-17	Lost
1244	985	82%	2022-04-24	Lost
1135	1069	59%	2021-08-14	Won
882	1135	19%	2021-07-25	Won
1118	1128	49%	2021-01-16	Lost
884	872	52%	2020-10-31	Won
1035	1112	39%	2020-08-11	Won
1077	1080	50%	2020-07-25	Won
1263	1206	58%	2020-07-17	Won
980	1102	33%	2020-07-10	Lost
1058	1021	55%	2020-03-27	Won
1155	1217	41%	2020-02-03	Won
1057	1217	28%	2020-02-03	Won
1102	925	73%	2018-12-28	Won
1021	1046	46%	2018-07-06	Lost
974	974	50%	2018-01-23	Won
1117	970	70%	2017-11-04	Won
961	1140	26%	2017-11-04	Lost
1117	1136	47%	2017-09-30	Won
1151	987	72%	2017-04-12	Won
1030	966	59%	2016-12-17	Won
1060	982	61%	2016-07-19	Lost
980	1226	20%	2015-07-03	Lost
1226	1174	57%	2015-01-22	Won
1035	1116	39%	2014-11-10	Won
1020	1038	47%	2014-08-05	Lost
1079	1226	30%	2013-10-23	Lost
1091	983	65%	2013-03-09	Lost
1052	925	68%	2012-05-15	Won
1140	753	90%	2012-05-10	Won
1080	1203	33%	2011-11-19	Lost
1097	934	72%	2011-11-01	Won
1146	1097	57%	2011-02-02	Won
1005	962	56%	2010-09-13	Lost
1160	1147	52%	2010-05-30	Lost
1021	1110	37%	2010-05-30	Won
1219	1070	70%	2010-05-07	Won
962	974	48%	2010-04-16	Won
1018	1120	36%	2010-03-05	Lost
1056	1120	41%	2010-03-05	Lost
1212	1028	74%	2010-01-16	Lost

Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1056.1 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).