Sporck's Eleven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (24 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1048 | 47% | 2025-06-09 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1123 | 47% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1059 | 43% | 2023-10-30 | Lost |
| 1202 | 969 | 79% | 2023-09-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1055 | 45% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1193 | 1188 | 51% | 2023-02-23 | Won |
| 1264 | 1170 | 63% | 2022-02-19 | Tied |
| 951 | 1120 | 27% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1120 | 58% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2018-01-07 | Lost |
| 982 | 1057 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 939 | 998 | 42% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1153 | 38% | 2014-12-19 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1124 | 38% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 1223 | 1044 | 74% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 973 | 1153 | 26% | 2012-01-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2011-03-13 | Won |
| 1020 | 927 | 63% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1169 | 1313 | 30% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
| 1189 | 1159 | 54% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2009-08-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1095.4 has a 45.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).