Smiling Albert
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (18 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 1094 | 47% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1107 | 37% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 930 | 1100 | 27% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1413 | 1111 | 85% | 2016-09-07 | Won |
| 1070 | 1057 | 52% | 2014-10-13 | Won |
| 1075 | 973 | 64% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1313 | 1212 | 64% | 2012-02-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1153 | 29% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1020 | 66% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1085 | 46% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
| 999 | 1089 | 37% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2011-05-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 904 | 74% | 2010-01-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 898 | 987 | 37% | 2009-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1070.7 vs 1069 has a 50.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).