Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (11 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 919 | 69% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1201 | 992 | 77% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 960 | 1225 | 18% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 903 | 1087 | 26% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
| 1149 | 1309 | 28% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 973 | 56% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
| 1094 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1088.3 has a 46.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).