Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Swedish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1129 | 1035 | 63% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1180 | 26% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1109 | 25% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1137 | 38% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1099.3 has a 40.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).