Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Swedish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2022-10-04 | | Won |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2022-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1182 | 27% | 2021-04-14 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1056 | 44% | 2021-03-10 | | Won |
| 988 | 1071 | 38% | 2021-02-02 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1004 | 38% | 2018-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1231 | 26% | 2012-09-03 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1194 | 27% | 2011-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-12-06 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 997.9 vs 1087.3 has a 37.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).