Absolut Märkäjärvi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (9 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Swedish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1075 | 41% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 914 | 1011 | 36% | 2022-08-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1204 | 27% | 2021-04-14 | Won |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 1133 | 23% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-09-03 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1113.3 has a 35.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).