The Aubagne Bottleneck Must Pop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 3
Defender wins (German): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1008 | 50% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1011 | 850 | 72% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1025 | 1037 | 48% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1015.7 vs 965 has a 57.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).