Norman "D"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (18 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1139 | 54% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1155 | 47% | 2025-02-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 864 | 942 | 39% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1042 | 50% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1065 | 44% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 977 | 1120 | 31% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 960 | 1203 | 20% | 2016-10-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 951 | 65% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1215 | 1333 | 34% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1125 | 37% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1079 | 927 | 71% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 1123 | 54% | 2013-04-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 965 | 64% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 1081 | 40% | 2010-03-28 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2009-06-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 1078.9 has a 43.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).