Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
984 | 954 | 54% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
1161 | 1169 | 49% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
909 | 1004 | 37% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
1033 | 984 | 57% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-10-01 | Won |
1155 | 1080 | 61% | 2010-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1053.6 has a 51.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).