Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 944 | 59% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 1105 | 53% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
| 949 | 994 | 44% | 2016-02-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1004 | 54% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2010-10-01 | Won |
| 1149 | 1133 | 52% | 2010-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1051.3 has a 52.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).