Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (6 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 14
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1084 | 29% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 937 | 1078 | 31% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 1034 | 52% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1133 | 32% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 966.7 vs 1035.2 has a 40.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).