Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (7 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 974 | 46% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1096 | 46% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 967 | 1057 | 37% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1141 | 34% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1001.9 vs 1052.3 has a 42.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).