Under the Northern Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (7 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1052 | 33% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
| 991 | 1095 | 35% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 1057 | 51% | 2020-07-30 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 985 | 1167 | 26% | 2008-10-23 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1152 | 33% | 2008-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 976.6 vs 1054.9 has a 38.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).