A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (24 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Polish): 63
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1159 | 46% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
847 | 1110 | 18% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
1298 | 972 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
1075 | 1310 | 21% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
948 | 1214 | 18% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
1030 | 1126 | 37% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
1069 | 1214 | 30% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1015 | 1110 | 37% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
981 | 1098 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
1067 | 954 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
1125 | 1130 | 49% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1056 | 56% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1051 | 1151 | 36% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
1047 | 1043 | 51% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
1001 | 1013 | 48% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
1069 | 1051 | 53% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
978 | 1150 | 27% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
1164 | 996 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1109.9 has a 42.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).