A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 115 (27 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Polish): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1120 | 51% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 841 | 1100 | 18% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1312 | 973 | 88% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 949 | 1220 | 17% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1202 | 53% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 1220 | 28% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 949 | 72% | 2016-01-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1100 | 38% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1066 | 62% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1100 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 954 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1175 | 1153 | 53% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1057 | 56% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1170 | 34% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1039 | 63% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1012 | 48% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1263 | 21% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 968 | 63% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
| 1148 | 1062 | 62% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1104.1 has a 45.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).