Muhlenkamp's Miracle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 996 | 51% | 2025-02-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1100 | 32% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1134 | 1140 | 49% | 2014-11-01 | Lost |
| 1078 | 986 | 63% | 2009-01-27 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1055.5 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).