The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1270 | 38% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1132 | 53% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 803 | 1218 | 8% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 906 | 1026 | 33% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
| 1026 | 1042 | 48% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 939 | 1205 | 18% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1157 | 38% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 918 | 67% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
| 1061 | 1146 | 38% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.7 vs 1123.8 has a 35.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).