The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1202 | 27% | 2026-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1219 | 37% | 2025-01-23 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1118 | 44% | 2022-10-02 | | Lost |
| 739 | 1222 | 6% | 2020-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2014-10-25 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2013-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2011-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1109 | 44% | 2009-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2009-01-03 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1175 | 32% | 2008-12-27 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2008-12-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026 vs 1139.8 has a 34.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).