Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1084 | 46% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 914 | 927 | 48% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1060 | 966 | 63% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1108 | 1133 | 46% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1252 | 19% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1092 | 1170 | 39% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1133 | 47% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1148 | 44% | 2009-10-06 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1099.7 has a 42.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).