Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-06-16 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1029 | 38% | 2021-12-31 | | Lost |
| 939 | 894 | 56% | 2021-12-17 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1025 | 61% | 2021-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1217 | 41% | 2017-10-08 | | Lost |
| 940 | 966 | 46% | 2012-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2010-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2010-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2009-12-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2009-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1141 | 42% | 2009-10-06 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2008-11-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1062.8 has a 45.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).