Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1084 | 44% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
| 937 | 978 | 44% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1137 | 952 | 74% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
| 1126 | 1080 | 57% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 940 | 993 | 42% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1143 | 42% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1080 | 55% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 975 | 1183 | 23% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1082.9 has a 45.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).