Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1023 | 1084 | 41% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
881 | 993 | 34% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
1091 | 970 | 67% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
1131 | 1048 | 62% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
952 | 1259 | 15% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
945 | 955 | 49% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
1090 | 1179 | 37% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
1113 | 1048 | 59% | 2010-01-28 | Lost |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
1002 | 1133 | 32% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1078.5 has a 44.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).