A Cross in Gold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1057 | 1202 | 30% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
1099 | 1133 | 45% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
1020 | 1132 | 34% | 2023-01-04 | Won |
1027 | 1048 | 47% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
1153 | 1049 | 65% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
1148 | 1171 | 47% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
1153 | 1100 | 58% | 2015-07-13 | Lost |
1148 | 1030 | 66% | 2009-10-11 | Lost |
1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
1004 | 1062 | 42% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1096.5 vs 1100.8 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).